America in decline
Monday, February 1st, 2010I think it is odd that people are nowadays writing about “America In Decline”. The subject was a hot one in the 1970s, and back then I think it was valid. Nowadays I think it is pointless. Yet this kind of thing has become common:
When I was a schoolboy in California in the 1950s and ’60s, the freeways were new and big and smooth—like the new roads being built all across China. Today’s California freeways are cracked and crowded and old. A Chinese student I knew in Shanghai who has recently entered graduate school at UC Berkeley sent me a note saying that the famous San Francisco Bay Area seemed “beautiful, but run down.” I remember a similar reaction on arriving at graduate school in England in the 1970s and seeing the sad physical remnants—dimly lit museums, once-stately homes, public buildings overdue for repair—from a time when the society had bigger dreams and more resources than it could muster in the here and now. A Chinese friend who flew for the first time from Beijing to New York phoned soon after landing to complain about the potholed, traffic-jammed taxi ride from JFK to Manhattan. “When I was growing up, these bridges and roads and dams were a source of real national pride and achievement,” Stephen Flynn, the president of the Center for National Policy in Washington, who was born in 1960, told me. “My daughter was 6 when the World Trade Center towers went down, 8 when lights went off on the East Coast, 10 when a major U.S. city drowned—I saw things built, and she’s seen them fall apart.” America is supposed to be the permanent country of the New, but a lot of it just looks old.
Books like The European Revenge are worth reading for perspective. Published in 1975, it made the case that Europe was passing up America. Soon, it said, European car makers, such as Mercedes and BMW, would be able to make cars every bit as good as those made in America. And of course, that turned out to be true.
I’ve noted before that employment shows a 50 year decline. Worse, permanent unemployment has been on the rise for a very long time, as industry after industry leaves America, starting with textiles back in the 1960s.
Back during the 1980s, when I was a teenager, I was obsessed with the fact that America was in decline. Rising debts, rising deficits, the loss of industrial jobs, rising crime – everything was moving in a bad direction. I recall my dad and I having a lively debate on the issue in 1982, when a cousin of mine bought his first condo. He was only 22. My dad saw the purchase as an example of America’s great affluence, whereas I saw the purchase as an example of American’s addiction to debt. I lacked the right vocabulary, but I also tried to express the idea that a home was a form of consumption, and America had too much consumption and not enough production. It would have been better for the country if my cousin had used the money to create a start-up instead.
America certainly had a rough 50 years, but I’m happier where things are now. At the very least, there is a vibrant startup scene, and more recognition of the need for innovation. The current recession is good in one sense – day by day, there is less sleepiness, less reliance on the status quo. Things are awful, right now, but I’m optimistic that the people are turning in the right direction. “Decline” is the wrong verb for the moment. When you are lying on the floor, knocked out cold, you are not declining, rather, you have already declined. All you can do from that point is wake up and get up.

